The charts below I think will help you see where the US stock market and economic cycles appear to be. The first image shows two cycles, the blue one is the stock market cycle and which sectors typically outperform during specific times within the cycle.

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Here you will see that during the late stages of a bull market the safe haven plays become the preferred choice for investors — Energy and Precious Metals. Typically, the stock market tops before the economic business cycle does.

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Because investors can see sales starting to slow and that earnings will start to weaken and share prices will fall, so the market participants start selling shares before the masses see and hear about a weakening economy. The stock market usually moves months before the economic cycle change I known by the masses.

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Elliott wave theory is a tough strategy to follow. Meaning, if you gave the same chart to 5 different people you would likely have 3 or 5 very different wave counts. Recently I have seen a flurry of EW charts on the SP wave count which I do not think are correct. When What to expect in tomorrow stock market do Elliott Wave counts I like to use more than just price.

I look into things deeper and use the market internals, volume flows, and overall market sentiment during those times. They must all be screaming extreme FEAR in the market in order for me to count it as a wave low.

Fear is much easier to read and time than greed. So based on waves of fear and I can plot the rest of forex trading lies waves. By doing this, I feel it gives a truer reading of significant highs and lows we should use in our analysis.

In short, the current market analysis, in my what to expect in tomorrow stock market, is still very bearish and this could actually be the ultimate last opportunity to get short the market near the highs before we dive into a full blown bear options trading earnings season in the next months.

I will admit, the market is trying VERY hard to convince us it wants to go higher as it flirts with the recent highs for its second time in the past 8 months.

I know it is doing its job because so many traders and investors are changing their tune from bearish to SUPER BULLISH. But all my analysis much more than what you see here points to substantially lower prices over the next year.

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Blog - Latest News You are here: Gold Forecast Stock Market Elliott Wave Count, Economic Cycle and Equities Cycle. Stock Market Topping According to Sector Analysis Elliott Wave Count — My Educated Guess Elliott wave theory is a tough strategy to follow. See my analysis below for a visual… BUT REMEMBER: Share this entry Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share on Linkedin.